Abstract

AbstractUpernavik Isstrøm, a marine glacier undergoing rapid retreat, is simulated by forcing a numerical model with ocean-driven melt. A review of processes driving retreat led us to hypothesize that a glacier undergoing rapid retreat may be less sensitive to perturbations in the balance of forces than a glacier that is undergoing moderate changes or a glacier in steady state. Numerical experiments suggest this is not the case, and that a system in rapid retreat is as sensitive to basal traction perturbations as a system that is near to steady state. This result is important when considering other glacier systems experiencing marine-forced retreat. While the ice–ocean interface is of primary importance, additional perturbations from meltwater-forced decoupling of the glacier from its bed continue to feature in glacier dynamics.

Highlights

  • Along with surface runoff, discharge from marine-terminating outlet glaciers is a primary cause of ice mass loss from the Greenland ice sheet

  • Upernavik Isstrøm loses a maximum of ∼150 Gt of mass over 50 years (Figs 2a, d), and both subaqueous melting and basal traction perturbations are important for determining total mass loss (Fig. 2c)

  • For the maximum tested subaqueous melt rate of 2.4 m d−1 and a basal traction coefficient reduction of 40%, Upernavik Isstrøm loses over 500 Gt of ice, which is ∼0.06% of its steady-state mass (Fig. 2a)

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Summary

Introduction

Discharge from marine-terminating outlet glaciers is a primary cause of ice mass loss from the Greenland ice sheet (van den Broeke and others, 2009; McMillan and others, 2016). Fast-flowing tidewater glaciers transport volumes of ice from cold, inland regions to warmer coastal areas where it is lost to surface melting submarine melting, and calving (Vieli and Nick, 2011; Truffer and Motyka, 2016). Increasing atmospheric and ocean temperatures have been linked to rapid changes in outlet glaciers including flow acceleration, thinning and rapid retreat (Holland and others, 2008; Moon and others, 2012). Mechanisms responsible for retreat include increased subaqueous melting caused by intrusion of warm Atlantic waters into fjords (Holland and others, 2008; Rignot and others, 2010; Motyka and others, 2011) and turbulent heat exchange at the ice–ocean interface from subglacial discharge (Xu and others, 2012; Truffer and Motyka, 2016). Submarine melt plays an important role in controlling the dynamics of large, marine-terminating glaciers such as Petermann Glacier and Jakobshavn Isbræ in Greenland and Pine Island Glacier in Antarctica (Holland and others, 2008; Jacobs and others, 2011; Nick and others, 2013)

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