Abstract
Based on the process-based energy balance snow melting model Snow Column Model, several scenarios are set to study the response of snow pack to climate change according to site-based data in snowpit 006, Niwot Ridge, Colorado, Front Range of Rocky Mountains. Based on an introduction and validation of Snow Column Model by data of 1996, a further validation is made on data during 1997 and 1999. Scenarios are set based on observations of solar radiation, long-wave radiation, air temperature, latent and sensible heat flux during 1996 and 1999. The responses of snow pack to an average temperature fluctuation within 6.2°C are analyzed. The results illustrate that snow density and snow water equivalent accelerated decreases while the variance in snow density does not increase monotonically over time.
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