Abstract

Federated learning (FL) has emerged as a significant method for developing machine learning models across multiple devices without centralized data collection. Candidemia, a critical but rare disease in ICUs, poses challenges in early detection and treatment. The goal of this study is to develop a privacy-preserving federated learning framework for predicting candidemia in ICU patients. This approach aims to enhance the accuracy of antifungal drug prescriptions and patient outcomes. This study involved the creation of four predictive FL models for candidemia using data from ICU patients across three hospitals in China. The models were designed to prioritize patient privacy while aggregating learnings across different sites. A unique ensemble feature selection strategy was implemented, combining the strengths of XGBoost’s feature importance and statistical test p values. This strategy aimed to optimize the selection of relevant features for accurate predictions. The federated learning models demonstrated significant improvements over locally trained models, with a 9% increase in the area under the curve (AUC) and a 24% rise in true positive ratio (TPR). Notably, the FL models excelled in the combined TPR + TNR metric, which is critical for feature selection in candidemia prediction. The ensemble feature selection method proved more efficient than previous approaches, achieving comparable performance. The study successfully developed a set of federated learning models that significantly enhance the prediction of candidemia in ICU patients. By leveraging a novel feature selection method and maintaining patient privacy, the models provide a robust framework for improved clinical decision-making in the treatment of candidemia.

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