A predictive model for extubation readiness in extremely preterm infants.

Abstract

To develop an estimator for predicting successful extubation for an individual preterm infant. This was a retrospective study that included infants with birth weights ≤1250 g, who were admitted to a tertiary NICU over a 7-year period, received mechanical ventilation and had an elective extubation attempt within 60 days of age. Perinatal and periextubation characteristics were compared in the successful and failed extubation groups. Of 621 screened infants, 312 were included. Extubation succeeded in 73% and failed in 27%. Adjusted factors associated with successful extubation included greater gestational age, chronologic age, pre-extubation pH and lower pre-extubation FiO2, along with lower "peak" respiratory severity score in the first 6 h of age. We used readily available demographic and clinical data to create an extubation readiness estimator that provides the probability of extubation success for an individual preterm infant (http://elasticbeanstalk-us-east-2-676799334712.s3-website.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/).