Abstract
The paper aims to analyze land use/land cover (LULC) changes in western part and the populated area of Amman governorate and to identify the process of urbanization and urban expansion within the study area for the period of 1984-2014. It also aims to predict future LULC map for the year 2030 using Markov Model to provide city planners and decision makers with information about the past and current spatial dynamics of LULC change and strictly urban expansion towards successful management and better planning in the future. Images from Landsat 5-TM for the years 1984, 1999 and from Landsat 8-OLI for the year 2014 were used to investigate LULC within the study area during 1984-2014 and the resulted LULC maps in 1999 and 2014 were used to predict future LULC map based on Markov Model. The results indicated that the urban/built up area expanded by 147% during the period from 1984 to 2014 and predicted to expand by 43.9% from 2014 to 2030 based on Markov model predictions. The areas in the western, northwest and southwest parts of Amman as well as the areas of Marka and Uhud, the northeast of the study area, were predicted to witness the major urban expansion in 2030. And these are the areas where city planners and decision makers should take into consideration in future plans of Amman. The urban expansion was mainly attributed to the high population growth rate and large number of immigrants from neighboring countries and other socio-economic changes.
Highlights
The entire world is continuously experiencing rapid urbanization [1] that leads to a variety of urban-related en-How to cite this paper: Khawaldah, H.A. (2016) A Prediction of Future Land Use/Land Cover in Amman Area Using GISBased Markov Model and Remote Sensing
In 1948, urban expansion increased to 4.123 km2, due to the first wave of migrants of Palestinians, as a result of the foundation of the state of Israel, who moved to Jordan in general and to Amman in particular
This study has demonstrated the importance of using GIS and remote sensing (RS) GIS techniques to produce accurate Land Use/ Land Cover (LULC) maps and change statistics for the western and populated part of Amman’s governorate, which is valuable to monitor urban expansion effectively over a time
Summary
The entire world is continuously experiencing rapid urbanization [1] that leads to a variety of urban-related en-How to cite this paper: Khawaldah, H.A. (2016) A Prediction of Future Land Use/Land Cover in Amman Area Using GISBased Markov Model and Remote Sensing. How to cite this paper: Khawaldah, H.A. (2016) A Prediction of Future Land Use/Land Cover in Amman Area Using GISBased Markov Model and Remote Sensing. Urbanization, caused by population growth, will lead to inward urban growth (intensification) and outward urban growth (sprawl) [2]. These processes inevitably result in Land Use/ Land Cover (LULC) change which has great impacts on both natural ecosystems and human systems [3] [4]. Monitoring and detecting urban growth and its resulting LULC change are critical to planners, government agencies, hydrologists, ecologists, and so on. With the development of remote sensing and GIS technologies, reliable change detection results can be obtained
Sign-in/Register to view highlights & summary Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a callDisclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.
