Abstract
In Heilongjiang Province, China, the generated wind power is mainly consumed in-place, the uncertainty of wind power variability and electric load lead the difficulty in wind power in-place consumption capacity prediction. In this paper a wind power in-place consumption capacity predition model based on scenario-markov chain simulation (SMCS) is proposed. The wind velocity and wind power output could be accurately predicted for the calculation of wind power in-place consumption capacity by the presented prediction model. The case study results of a real region power system verify effectiveness of the proposed model.
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