Abstract
163 Background: Available clinical prognostic scoring systems for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) were developed in the era of conventional chemotherapy. In 2008, the molecularly targeted agent sorafenib became the new standard of care for advanced HCC due to its survival benefit. The utility of these prognostic models in the setting of sorafenib is unclear. Our aims were to assess for new prognostic factors in patients treated with sorafenib and compare these with known prognostic systems. Methods: All patients diagnosed with advanced HCC from 2008 to 2010 in British Columbia, Canada and treated with sorafenib at any 1 of 5 regional cancer centers were eligible. Based on the established Okuda, CLIP, Barcelona, and French staging systems, we collected baseline demographic and disease characteristics of patients prior to receipt of sorafenib. Multivariate logistic regression models were constructed to examine for associations between these clinical factors and overall survival. Results: Of 183 patients identified, 152 were evaluable: median age was 63 years, 78% were men, average number of sorafenib treatment was 5.3 cycles, and median overall survival was 9.6 months. The prevalence of hepatitis B, hepatitis C, and alcohol-related liver disease were 32%, 15%, and 11%, respectively. Univariate analyses showed that poor performance status, presence of clinical ascites, as well as elevated serum AST, GGT, ALP, bilirubin and platelet levels were each associated with worse overall survival (all p<0.05). In multivariate analyses, however, none of these clinical factors continued to be independently predictive of outcome (all p>0.05). Conclusions: Traditional clinical prognostic factors developed in the era of conventional chemotherapy do not appear to have the same prognostic utility in this contemporary Western cohort of advanced HCC patients treated with sorafenib. This observation underscores the need to identify molecular biomarkers that provide better prognostic information.
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