A physics-guided automated machine learning approach for obtaining surface radiometric temperatures on sunny days based on UAV-derived images

Abstract

Urban surface radiometric temperatures, approximate to the surface kinetic temperatures, are predominantly retrieved using satellites or unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) and exhibit pronounced spatiotemporal variations. Despite numerous methods ranging from empirical to physical models for obtaining urban microscale surface radiometric temperatures via UAVs, challenges remain given the limited physical significance and substantial professional barriers to method application. Against this background, this study introduces a novel and straightforward approach for acquiring spatially distributed radiometric temperatures on sunny days without understanding the complex radiative transfer process as well as acquiring low-altitude atmospheric parameters. An automated machine learning was employed to train a model capable of efficiently estimating radiometric temperatures. Training and testing datasets were created based on the urban radiative transfer equation, incorporating three independent variables: UAV-measured surface brightness temperature, broadband emissivity, and sky view factor, which collectively represent the diverse thermal environments across different surface characteristics and urban layouts during sunny transitional and summer seasons. The model's accuracy was subsequently confirmed through direct comparisons with radiometric temperatures retrieved from UAV-collected multimodal images and kinetic temperatures synchronously collected on the ground across four periods. The results indicate that AutoGluon achieved high accuracy (MAE: 0.04 K; RMSE: 0.06 K; R2: 0.99). Additional ground measurement validations further demonstrated the model's reliability, with absolute biases on sunlit surfaces maintained within 1.25 K. Given its capability for real-time, high-spatial-resolution mapping of radiometric temperatures (April test: 8.70 cm, July test: 6.89 cm) in urban microscales with considerable heterogeneity, such a method is envisioned to be an effective tool for the dynamic monitoring and management of thermal environments at the microscale level in urban settings.