A Numerical Study of the Impact of Greenhouse Gases on the South Atlantic Ocean Climatology

Abstract

The National Center for Atmospheric Research Community Climate SystemModel (NCAR CCSM, version 3) numerical coupled model is used tounderstand the climatic impacts on the South Atlantic Ocean due toindustrialization and consequent increase of greenhouse gasemission. Two experiments are analyzed: the first one withtrace/greenhouse gases at pre-industrial levels and a second one wherepresent day levels were adopted. The results show that the annualaveraged sea surface temperature, sea level pressure and barotropictransport intensify and precipitation weakens from one period to thenext. With respect to the seasonal cycle, the sea surface temperaturewarms relative to the pre-industrial period mainly during the winterand spring; while sea level pressure presents higher values in summerand autumn. Barotropic transport has revealed significant differencesbetween the two experiments at middle and high latitudes. Increasedtransport is associated with the intensification of the SubtropicalGyre and the Antarctic Circumpolar Current. Changes in barotropictransport and sea surface temperature leads to an intensification ofthe Polar Front and associated gradients. Examination of theprecipitation field differences showed an increase over the Amazonregion and along the South Atlantic Convergence Zone, during summer.The changes in sea surface temperature, sea-level pressure andbarotropic transport from the pre-industrial period to the present daywere more pronounced at high latitudes. These reach almost 1 °Cand 11Sv between 45-60° S, respectively. Majordifferences in precipitation are confined to the tropics.