A novel model of technology diffusion: System dynamics perspective for cloud computing

Abstract

The diffusion of cloud computing is going to create a pervasive impact on the global economy and on society. This study proposes a two-stage diffusion model of cloud computing to strengthen the objectivity of system dynamics in numeric prediction. The results indicate that the main factors affecting the diffusion of cloud computing are service quality, the degree of maturity of infrastructure, price, the degree of technological maturity, etc. This paper also proposes a prediction about the diffusion of cloud computing in the coming decade to provide guidance for future technology planning and strategic deployment.