A novel method to estimate adult age from the lumbar vertebral body using 3D PMCT images in Japanese

Abstract

This study evaluated the age-related changes in the vertebral body using 3D Postmortem CT (PMCT) images and proposed an alternative age estimation formula. The PMCT images of 200 deceased individuals aged 25 to 99 years (126 males, 74 females) were retrospectively reviewed and included in the study. Using the open-source software ITK-SNAP and MeshLab, a 3D surface mesh of the fourth lumbar vertebral body (L4) and its convex hull models were created from the PMCT data. Using their inbuilt tools, volumes (in mm3) of the L4 surface mesh and convex hull models were subsequently computed. We derived VD, defined as the difference in volumes between the convex hull and L4 surface mesh normalized by L4 mesh volume, and VR, defined as the ratio of L4 mesh volume to convex hull volume based on individual L4. Correlation and regression analyses were performed between VD, VR, and chronological age. A statistically significant positive correlation (P < 0.001) between chronological age and VD, (rs = 0.764, males; rs = 0.725, females), and a significant negative correlation between chronological age and VR (rs = -0.764, males; rs = -0.725, females) was obtained in both sexes. The lowest standard error of the estimate was demonstrated by the VR at 11.9 years and 12.5 years for males and females, respectively. As such, their regression models to estimate adult age were Age = 248.9–2.5VR years, males; Age = 258.1–2.5VR years, females. These regression equations may be useful for estimating age in Japanese adults in forensic settings.