A novel immune signature to predict the prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

Abstract

Aberrant immunity has been associated with the initiation and progression of cancers such as hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Here, we aim to develop a signature based on immune-related genes (IRGs) to predict the prognosis of HCC patients. The gene expression profiles of 891 HCC samples were derived from 4 publicly accessible datasets. A total of 1534 IRGs from Immunology Database and Analysis Portal website were obtained as candidate genes for prognostic assessment. Using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis, 12 IRGs were selected as prognostic biomarkers and were then aggregated to generate an IRG score for each HCC sample. In the training dataset (n = 365), patients with high IRG scores showed a remarkably poorer overall survival than those with low IRG scores (log-rank P < .001). Similar results were documented in 3 independent testing datasets (n = 226, 221, 79, respectively). Multivariate Cox regression and stratified analyses indicated that the IRG score was an independent and robust signature to predict the overall survival in HCC patients. Patients with high IRG scores tended to be in advanced TNM stages, with increased risks of tumor recurrence and metastasis. More importantly, the IRG score was strongly associated with certain immune cell counts, gene expression of immune checkpoints, estimated immune score, and mutation of critical genes in HCC. In conclusion, the proposed IRG score can predict the prognosis and reflect the tumor immune microenvironment of HCC patients, which may facilitate the individualized treatment and provide potential immunotherapeutic targets.