Abstract

Endomyocardial biopsy (EMB), the reference surveillance test for acute rejection (AR) in heart transplant (HTx) recipients, is invasive, costly, and shows significant interobserver variability. Recent studies indicate that donor-derived cell-free DNA (dd-cfDNA), obtained non-invasively from blood, is associated with AR and could reduce the frequency of EMB surveillance. The aim of this study was to examine the performance characteristics of a novel test for detecting AR in adult HTx recipients. Plasma samples with contemporaneous EMBs were obtained from HTx recipients. A clinically available SNP-based massively multiplexed-PCR dd-cfDNA assay was used to measure dd-cfDNA fraction. dd-cfDNA fractions were compared with EMB-defined rejection status and test performance was assessed by constructing ROC curves and calculating accuracy measures. A total of 811 samples from 223 patients with dd-cfDNA testing and contemporaneous EMB were eligible for the study. dd-cfDNA fraction was significantly higher in AR (median 0.58%, IQR, 0.13%-1.68%) compared to non-AR (median 0.04%, IQR, 0.01%-0.11%, pc < 0.001). ROC analysis produced an area under the curve (AUC-ROC) of 0.86 (95% CI, 0.77-0.96). Defining samples with dd-cfDNA fraction ≥0.15% as AR yielded 78.5% sensitivity (95% CI, 60.7%-96.3%) and 76.9% specificity (95% CI, 71.1%-82.7%). Positive and negative predictive values were 25.1% (95% CI, 18.8%-31.5%) and 97.3% (95% CI, 95.1%-99.5%) respectively, calculated using the cohort AR prevalence of 9.0% (95% CI, 5.3%-12.8%) with adjustment for repeat samples. This novel dd-cfDNA test detects AR in HTx recipients with good accuracy and holds promise as a noninvasive test for AR in HTx recipients.

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