A novel breast tissue feature strongly associated with risk of breast cancer.

Abstract

Abstract Abstract #5008 Background: Accurate, individualized risk prediction for breast cancer is lacking. Tissue-based features, such as the terminal duct lobular unit (TDLU), may help to stratify women into different risk levels as breast lobules are the anatomic sites of origin of breast cancer. As women age, these lobular structures should regress, which results in reduced breast cancer risk. Regression, however, does not occur in all women.
 Materials and Methods: We have quantified the extent of lobule regression on a benign breast biopsy in 85 breast cancer cases and 142 age-matched controls from the Mayo Benign Breast Disease Cohort, by determining number of acini/lobule and lobular area. We also calculated Gail model 5-year predicted risks for these women.
 Results: There is a step-wise increase in breast cancer risk with increasing numbers of acini/lobule (p=0.0004). Adjusting for Gail model score, parity, histology, and family history did not attenuate this association.
 
 Lobular area was similarly associated with risk. The Gail model estimates were associated with risk of breast cancer (p=0.03). We examined the individual accuracy of these measures using the concordance (c) statistic. The Gail model c-statistic was 0.60 (95% CI; 0.50-0.70); the acinar count c-statistic was 0.65 (95% CI; 0.54-0.75). Combining acinar count and lobular area, the c-statistic was 0.68 (95% GI; 0.58-0.78). Adding the Gail model to these did not improve the c-statistic.
 
 Discussion: Novel, tissue-based features that reflect the status of a woman's normal breast lobules are strongly associated with breast cancer risk. These features appear to provide more accurate risk assessment than the currently used Gail model. Citation Information: Cancer Res 2009;69(2 Suppl):Abstract nr 5008.