A Novel Approach to Predict Students Performance in Online Courses through Machine Learning

Abstract

— Forecasting student success can enable teachers to prevent students from dropping out before final examinations, identify those who need additional help and boost institution ranking and prestige. Machine learning techniques in educational data mining aim to develop a model for discovering meaningful hidden patterns and exploring useful information from educational settings. The key traditional characteristics of students (demographic, academic background and behavioral features) are the main essential factors that can represent the training dataset for supervised machine learning algorithms. The real goal is to have an overview of the systems of artificial intelligence that were used to predict Academic learning. This research also focuses on how to classify the most relevant attributes in student data by using prediction algorithm. Using educational machine learning methods, we could potentially improve the performance and progress of students more efficiently in an efficient manner. Students, educator and academic institutions could benefit and also have an impact. In this paper, two predictive models have been designed namely students’ assessments grades and final students’ performance. The models can be used to detect the factors that influence students’ learning achievement in MOOCs. The result shows that both models gain feasible and accurate results. The lowest RSME gain by RF acquire a value of 8.131 for students assessments grades model while GBM yields the highest accuracy in final students’ performance, an average value of 0.086 was achieved.