A Novel Approach of Weighted Support Vector Machine with Applied Chance Theory for Forecasting Air Pollution Phenomenon in Egypt

Abstract

The particulate matter air pollutant of diameter less than 10 micrometers (PM[Formula: see text]), a category of pollutants including solid and liquid particles, can be a health hazard for several reasons: it can harm lung tissues and throat, aggravate asthma and increase respiratory illness. Accurate prediction models of PM[Formula: see text] concentrations are essential for proper management, control, and making public warning strategies. Therefore, machine learning techniques have the capability to develop methods or tools that can be used to discover unseen patterns from given data to solve a particular task or problem. The chance theory has advanced concepts pertinent to treat cases where both randomness and fuzziness play simultaneous roles at one time. The main objective is to study the modification of a single machine learning algorithm — support vector machine (SVM) — applying the chance weight of the target variable, based on the chance theory, to the corresponding dataset point to be superior to the ensemble machine learning algorithms. The results of this study are outperforming of the SVM algorithms when modifying and combining with the right theory/technique, especially the chance theory over other modern ensemble learning algorithms.