A novel algorithm to differentiate between primary lung tumors and distant liver metastasis in lung cancers using an exosome based multi gene biomarker panel

Abstract

The lack of non-invasive methods for detection of early metastasis is a crucial reason for the poor prognosis of lung cancer (LC) liver metastasis (LM) patients. In this study, the goal was to identify circulating biomarkers based on a biomarker model for the early diagnosis and monitoring of patients with LCLM. An 8-gene panel identified in our previous study was validated in CTC, cfRNA and exosomes isolated from primary lung cancer with & without metastasis. Further multivariate analysis including PCA & ROC was performed to determine the sensitivity and specificity of the biomarker panel. Model validation cohort (n = 79) was used to verify the stability of the constructed predictive model. Further, clinic-pathological factors, survival analysis and immune infiltration correlations were also performed. In comparison to our previous tissue data, exosomes demonstrated a good discriminative value with an AUC of 0.7247, specificity (72.48%) and sensitivity (96.87%) for the 8-gene panel. Further individual gene patterns led us to a 5- gene panel that showed an AUC of 0.9488 (p = < 0.001) and 0.9924 (p = < 0.001) respectively for tissue and exosomes. Additionally, on validating the model in a larger cohort a risk score was obtained (RS > 0.2) for prediction of liver metastasis with an accuracy of 95%. Survival analysis and immune filtration markers suggested that four exosomal markers were independently associated with poor overall survival. We report a novel blood-based exosomal biomarker panel for early diagnosis, monitoring of therapeutic response, and prognostic evaluation of patients with LCLM.