Abstract

An algorithm for tracking a maneuvering target under measurement origin uncertainties is derived based on the approximation and propagation of the target state posterior distribution by combining Bayesian decision theory and suitable hypothesis merging procedures. Simulation results show that the main feature of this algorithm is its ability to significantly reduce the estimation error during non-maneuvering periods, making it quite suitable for tracking low maneuvering aircrafts. At the same time, the proposal is able to keep very low levels of track loss rate even for scenarios with high false alarm probability and trajectories with high degree of maneuverability. This proposal presents overall superiority when compared to the Interacting Multiple-Model with Probabilistic Data Filtering (IMMPDAF) solution, with an affordable increase in computational cost.

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