Abstract

In this work, we adapt a Monte Carlo algorithm introduced by Broadie and Glasserman in 1997 to price a π-option. This method is based on the simulated price tree that comes from discretization and replication of possible trajectories of the underlying asset’s price. As a result, this algorithm produces the lower and the upper bounds that converge to the true price with the increasing depth of the tree. Under specific parametrization, this π-option is related to relative maximum drawdown and can be used in the real market environment to protect a portfolio against volatile and unexpected price drops. We also provide some numerical analysis.

Highlights

  • We analyze π-options introduced by Guo and Zervos (2010) that depends on so-called relative drawdown and can be used in hedging against volatile and unexpected price drops or by speculators betting on falling prices

  • In this paper we focus on the numerical pricing of the new derivative instrument—a π-option

  • We focused on a specific parametrization of this option which we call the π-option on drawdown

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Summary

Introduction

We analyze π-options introduced by Guo and Zervos (2010) that depends on so-called relative drawdown and can be used in hedging against volatile and unexpected price drops or by speculators betting on falling prices. This is done in Carriere (1996), where it was proved that finding the price of American option can be based on a backwards induction and calculating several conditional expectations This observation gives another breakthrough in pricing early exercise derivatives by Monte Carlo done by Longstaff and Schwartz (2001). It is a common belief that Monte Carlo method is more efficient than binomial tree algorithm in case of path-dependent financial instruments It has another known advantages as handling time-varying variants, asymmetry, abnormal distribution and extreme conditions. Having American-type options in the portfolio, the analyst might use the Monte Carlo simulation to determine its expected value even though the allocated assets and options have varying degrees of risk, various correlations and many parameters. In the last section, we state our conclusions and recommendations for further research in this new and interesting topic

Monte Carlo Algorithm
Preliminary Notations
Estimators
The Θ Estimator
The Φ Estimator
Numerical Analysis
American Options
Conclusions
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