Abstract

Estimates of nest survival rate are often based on the assumption that the rate is constant during the nest cycle. Because violating this assumption can generate biased estimates, determining the age of a nest is important. For precocial marsh birds, including Clapper Rails (Rallus longirostris), current estimates of nest survival do not take this source of bias into account because a standardized, nondestructive method for aging eggs in not available. We developed a nondestructive flotation technique using known-age nests that can be used to estimate the projected hatch date of Clapper Rail eggs within 3 d of the actual hatch date. This precision is limited in part due to variance in the length of incubation between nests and the common occurrence of asynchronous hatching. However, for investigators assessing the fate of Clapper Rail nests, our technique provides an effective and nondestructive method for projecting the hatch date of Clapper Rail eggs, and will facilitate unbiased estimates of nest survival rates. SINOPSIS Los estimados de la tasa de sobreviviencia comunmente estan basados en la presuncion de que esta es constante a traves del ciclo de anidamiento. Si violamos dicho postulado se puede generar sesgo en los estimados. A tales efectos es necesario entonces determinar la edad del nido. Para aves precoces de marjales, incluyendo a individuos de Rallus longirostris, los estimados actuales de sobrevivencia de nidos no toman en consideracion lo mencionado porque no hay un metodo estandarizado, no destructivo, para determinar la edad de los huevos. Desarrollamos un metodo no destructivo que consiste de hacer flotar los huevos, utilizando huevos de edad conocida, para estimar o proyectar el dia en que nacen los pichones dentro de tres dias de la fecha de eclosionamiento. La precision esta limitada en parte por la variabilidad en el largo del periodo de incubacion entre nidos y al hecho de que ocurre eclosionamiento asincronico. Sin embargo, para investigadores que tratan de determinar lo que finalmente ocurre con los nidos del ave, nuestra tecnica provee una forma efectiva, y no destructiva, para proyectar la fecha de eclosion, y reduce el sesgo para determinar la supervivencia de huevos.

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