A nomogram to predict the prognosis of advanced soft tissue sarcoma patients treated with anlotinib: A real-world population-based study.

Abstract

e23550 Background: The ALTER0203 randomized controlled trial proved the antitumor activity of anlotinib, a multitargeted tyrosine kinase inhibitor, in 8 subtypes of advanced refractory soft tissue sarcoma (STS). Our previous studies have shown that anlotinib showed antitumor activity in more than 30 STS pathological subtypes in the real world. This study further constructed a nomogram to predict the prognosis of advanced STS patients treated with anlotinib based on real-world data. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed the data of patients with unresectable locally advanced or metastatic STS who received at least one dose of anlotinib from June 2018 to March 2021. A nomogram was developed to predict the survival probability based on the multivariate analysis. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated by concordance index, bootstrap resampling calibration curve and time-dependent ROC curve. Results: A total of 209 patients were included in this study. The median age was 48 years (range 11-85 years), and the median follow-up time was 18.7 months. Based on five independent prognostic factors including ECOG performance status, FNCLCC grade G2-3, poor nutrition, increased neutrophil count, and treatment patterns according to the multivariate analysis, we constructed a nomogram to predict the prognosis of advanced STS patients treated with anlotinib. The concordance index was 0.780. For the prediction of 1-year and 2-year overall survival probability according to the nomogram, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.833 and 0.829, respectively. Conclusions: The nomogram based on ECOG performance status, FNCLCC grade, nutritional status, neutrophil count, and treatment patterns can accurately predict the 1-year and 2-year OS probability for advanced STS patients treated with anlotinib.