A nomogram prediction of gingival recession in mandibular incisors of orthodontic-orthognathic treated skeletal class III malocclusion with or without PAOO: A retrospective cohort study

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BackgroundTo assess the alterations in gingival thickness and the occurrence gingival recession subsequent to orthodontic-orthognathic treatment of mandibular incisors in skeletal Class III and identify risk factors associated with gingival recession. MethodsIn this retrospective cohort study, we enrolled 33 patients exhibiting skeletal Class III malocclusion, totaling 131 mandibular incisors, who were undergoing orthodontic- orthognathic treatment that did not involve extraction of mandibular teeth. The subjects were categorized into surgery group (S; n = 17; ANB = −5.55 ± 3.26; IOFTN = 4.60 ± 0.51, scores ranging: 4.3–5.3) and non-surgery group (NS; n = 16; ANB = −3.00 ± 4.08; IOFTN = 4.63 ± 0.50, scores ranging: 4.3–5.4), based on if they had history of Periodontally Accelerated Osteogenic Orthodontics surgery (S) or not (NS). Patients in S group received orthognathic surgery about 1–1.5 years after Periodontally Accelerated Osteogenic Orthodontics surgery. Alterations in gingival thickness, gingival recession, and keratinized gingival width were compared before and after orthodontic-orthognathic treatment. Logistic regression analysis was used to construct a gingival recession prediction model and draw nomograms. ResultsAfter orthodontic-orthognathic treatment, the gingival thickness and keratinized gingival width in NS group decreased by 0.15 ± 0.21 mm and 0.74 ± 0.91 mm, whereas those in the S group increased by 0.32 ± 0.28 mm and 2.09 ± 1.51 mm (P < 0.05). After orthodontic-orthognathic, the percentage of gingival recession increased by 47.62 % in NS group, which was 14.77 times that of S group (P < 0.05). Multivariate regression analysis indicated that skeletal Class III patients with a gingival thickness below 0.72 mm, an alveolar bone height exceeding 2.36 mm, and an alveolar bone thickness under 0.45 mm might be at elevated risk for developing gingival recession following orthodontic - orthognathic therapy. ConclusionsDrawing on the findings of our investigation, we concluded the risk of gingival recession of mandibular anterior teeth increased after orthodontic-orthognathic treatment in skeletal Class III, whereas Periodontally Accelerated Osteogenic Orthodontics surgery could significantly improve the periodontal phenotype and prevent gingival recession.