A Nomogram for Predicting Unplanned Intraoperative Hypothermia in Patients With Colorectal Cancer Undergoing Laparoscopic Colorectal Procedures.

Abstract

Unplanned intraoperative hypothermia is a complication that can lead to a variety of negative outcomes, such as cardiovascular events. We aimed to develop and validate an intraoperative hypothermia risk prediction nomogram for patients with colorectal cancer undergoing laparoscopic colorectal procedures. We conducted a prospective cohort study with 1,091 patients (ie, 765 in the training cohort, 326 in the validation cohort) from October 2020 to November 2021. We included six predictors in the nomogram model: body mass index, diabetes diagnosis, ambient temperature, ambient humidity, duration of surgery, and use of a forced-air warmer. The model performed well, and the area under the curve was 0.855. These results, together with an external validation value, mean that health care professionals can use the nomogram to calculate the intraoperative hypothermia risk for patients undergoing laparoscopic colorectal procedures and make clinical decisions based on the results.