Abstract

ObjectivesTo develop and validate a nomogram model based on radiomics features for preoperative prediction of visceral pleural invasion (VPI) in patients with lung adenocarcinoma.MethodsA total of 659 patients with surgically pathologically confirmed lung adenocarcinoma underwent CT examination. All cases were divided into a training cohort (n = 466) and a validation cohort (n = 193). CT features were analyzed by two chest radiologists. CT radiomics features were extracted from CT images. LASSO regression analysis was applied to determine the most useful radiomics features and construct radiomics score (radscore). A nomogram model was developed by combining the optimal clinical and CT features and the radscore. The model performance was evaluated using ROC analysis, calibration curve and decision curve analysis (DCA).ResultsA total of 1316 radiomics features were extracted. A radiomics signature model with a selection of the six optimal features was developed to identify patients with or without VPI. There was a significant difference in the radscore between the two groups of patients. Five clinical features were retained and contributed as clinical feature models. The nomogram combining clinical features and radiomics features showed improved accuracy, specificity, positive predictive value, and AUC for predicting VPI, compared to the radiomics model alone (specificity: training cohort: 0.89, validation cohort: 0.88, accuracy: training cohort: 0.84, validation cohort: 0.83, AUC: training cohort: 0.89, validation cohort: 0.89). The calibration curve and decision curve analyses suggested that the nomogram with clinical features is beyond the traditional clinical and radiomics features.ConclusionA nomogram model combining radiomics and clinical features is effective in non-invasively prediction of VPI in patients with lung adenocarcinoma.

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