A new scoring system predicting side branch occlusion in patients undergoing left main bifurcation intervention: the LM V-RESOLVE score

Abstract

BackgroundThe risk of side branch (SB) occlusion is pivotal for decision-making of stenting strategies during unprotected left main (LM) bifurcation percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Accordingly, this study aimed to develop a scoring system for predicting SB occlusion during unprotected LM bifurcation PCI. MethodsA total of 855 consecutive patients undergoing unprotected LM bifurcation PCI with provisional strategy at Fuwai Hospital from January 2014 to December 2016 were recruited. A prediction model was selected by all subsets logistic regression, and a multivariable risk score (LM V-RESOLVE [LM Visual Estimation for Risk Prediction of Side Branch Occlusion in Coronary Bifurcation Intervention]) was then established with incremental weights attributed to each component variable based on its estimate coefficients. SB occlusion was defined as any decrease in Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) flow grade or absence of flow in SB after main vessel (MV) stenting. ResultsSB occlusion occurred in 19 (2.22%) LM bifurcation lesions. In multivariable model, three variables, including MV/SB diameter ratio, MV plaque ipsilateral to SB, and baseline diameter stenosis of SB, were independent predictors for SB occlusion (model C-statistics, 0.829; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.735-0.923, with good calibration). The risk score had a C-statistics of 0.830 (95%CI, 0.738-0.923), with good calibration. Satisfactory discriminative ability of the risk score was also preserved in external validation (C-statistics, 0.794; 95%CI, 0.691-0.896). ConclusionsThe LM bifurcation-specific novel scoring system (LM V-RESOLVE), based on three simple baseline angiographic findings, could help to rapidly discriminate lesions at risk of SB occlusion during LM bifurcation PCI.