A new risk score for the assessment of outcomes for Chinese patients with peripartum cardiomyopathy

Abstract

BackgroundPeripartum cardiomyopathy (PPCM) is a potentially life-threatening complication of pregnancy, but identifying patients at higher risk of this condition remains difficult. ObjectivesWe conducted a study to identify new risk factors associated with PPCM and predictors of poor outcomes. MethodsThis retrospective analysis included a total of 44 women with PPCM. As a control group, 79 women who gave birth around the same time as the PPCM patients and who did not have organic disease were included. A multivariate regression analysis was conducted to identify risk factors associated with PPCM and with delayed recovery. ResultsAll PPCM patients were discharged within 28 days. In comparison to the control group, PPCM patients had higher rates of preeclampsia (20.4% vs. 1.27%, P<0.001), autoimmune disease (27.3% vs. 11.4%, P = 0.018), and cesarean delivery with preterm labor (31.8% vs. 17.7%, P = 0.037). The neonates of PPCM patients had lower birth weight (2.70±0.66 kg vs. 3.21±0.57 kg, P<0.001). PPCM patients had higher levels of C-reactive protein, d-dimer, brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), and serum phosphorus, but lower levels of albumin and serum calcium (all P<0.001). In all patients with PPCM, the left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) returned to normal (≥50%) within 28 days after admission. Subjects with early recovery (n = 34) had lower BNP than those with delayed recovery (n = 10) (649.7 ± 526.0 pg/mL vs. 1444.1 ± 1040.8 pg/mL, P = 0.002). Multivariate regression led to a three-point score system to predict PPCM (1 point each for the presence of pericardial effusion, left ventricular dilatation, and d-dimer level ≥0.5 μg/mL). At a cutoff of ≥2, this scoring system predicted delayed recovery with 95.5% sensitivity and 96.1% specificity. The negative predictive value was 97.4% and the positive predictive value was 93.3%. Binary logistic regression indicated that PPCM patients with pulmonary hypertension, lower hemoglobin, or worse LVEF tended to require longer hospital stay (minimum 14 days). ConclusionsA risk score that consists of pericardial effusion, left ventricular dilatation, and d-dimer level ≥ 0.5 μg/mL could help streamline the diagnosis of PPCM prior to confirmatory investigations. Moreover, a risk score that consists of pulmonary hypertension, lower hemoglobin and worse LVEF could help to predict poor outcomes in PPCM patients.