Abstract

There has been little discussion in policy circles about the risk that any US–Iraq conflict could result in an exodus of refugees from Iraq and a significant level of internal displacement. At worst, such developments might pose challenges to the security of neighbouring states and act as a factor complicating the US military campaign itself. While these risks are hard to quantify at this stage, what is clear is that the mechanisms and resources needed to respond to worst-case refugee scenarios are currently not in place.

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