A new QoS prediction model using hybrid IOWA-ANFIS with fuzzy C-means, subtractive clustering and grid partitioning

Abstract

Quality of Service (QoS) is one of the key indicators to measure the overall performance of cloud services. The quantitative measurement of the QoS enables the service provider to manage its Service Level Agreement (SLA) in a viable way. It also supports a consumer in service selection and allows measuring the received services to comply with agreed services. There is much existing literature that tries to predict the QoS and assist stakeholders in their decision-making process. However, it is tricky to deal with multidimensional data in time series prediction methods. The computational complexity increases with an increase in data dimension, and it is a challenging task to give precise weights to each time interval. Existing prediction methods could not deal with the intricate reordering of input weights. To address this problem, we propose a novel Clustered Induced Ordered Weighted Averaging (IOWA) Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS), (CI-ANFIS) model. This fuzzy time series prediction model reduces data dimension and handles the nonlinear relationship of the cloud QoS dataset. The proposed method uses an intelligent sorting mechanism that regulates uncertainty in prediction while incorporating a fuzzy neural network structure for optimal prediction results. The proposed method employs the IOWA operator to sort input arguments based on associated order-inducing variables and assign customised weights accordingly. The inputs are further classified using three fuzzy clustering methods - fuzzy c-means (FCM), subtractive clustering and grid partitioning. The inputs further pass to the ANFIS structure that takes the benefits of both the fuzzy and neural networks. The fuzzy structure in ANFIS builds understandable rules for cloud stakeholders and deals with uncertain occurrences of data. The model uses a real cloud QoS dataset extracted from the Amazon Elastic Compute Cloud (EC2) US-West instance and predict its behaviour every five minutes for the next 24 h. The proposed method is further compared with the existing twelve methods. The comparative results show that the proposed CI-ANFIS model outperforms all current techniques. The proposed approach opens a new area of research in various complex prediction problems such as stock trading, big data, complex IoT sensors, and other social computing problems.