A new method for assessing satellite-based hydrological data products using water budget closure

Abstract

Remote sensing products have been widely used in water resources assessment and management. However, the accuracy varies in different products. Water budget closure provides an important breakthrough for better assessing the uncertainties and quantifying error sources of satellite-based data products using water budget imbalance, especially in ungauged basins where conventional verification methods are not applicable. However, the commonly used assessment methods mainly refer to closure residual of water budget ΔRes or its proportion to corresponding mean precipitation (P) ΔRes/P, which have apparent limitations due to the dimensional effects in the former method and the high dependence on precipitation in the latter one. More critically, these two methods do not consider measured values (referring to in-situ values in gauged basins or average values of multiple satellite products in ungauged basins as in this study) as benchmarks of water budget components in the assessment of satellite-based hydrological data products, resulting in a wrong choice because the closure result is subject to the mutual cancellation in the errors of water budget components from different satellite-based products. This study proposes a novel error-based method to assess the accuracy of satellite-based hydrological data products for both gauged and ungauged basins based on water budget equation, measured values, and the omission error (OE) which is generally overlooked in existing studies. The method is applied to a typical closed basin, the Tarim River Basin (TRB) of China, to verify the applicability and reliability of the proposed method. Sixty combinations of water budget components from various satellite sources can be designed based on five precipitation (P) products, four evapotranspiration (ET) products and three terrestrial water storage change (TWSC) products. First order reliability method (FORM) is employed to assess the reliability of water budget closure results caused by the errors of satellite sources. The results indicated that different combinations produced different annual ΔRes and ΔRes/P, indicating great water budget closure errors for different combinations due to errors in different satellite sources. The OE error from satellite-based hydrological data products of water budget components clearly showed a greater impact on water budget imbalance than water budget components, indicating that OE error is important for understanding quality of satellite products. By comparing the results of ΔRes and ΔRes/P, it can be seen that our proposed method had great advantages in assessment of satellite products with a low dependence on P, and a better comparability between different combinations. The value of our assessment criterion ranges from 0 to 1 which is easier to understand in practice. The combinations of water budget components from TRMM_3B43 (P), GPM_3IMERGHH (P), GLDAS_NOAH025 (ET), and GRACE (TWSC) products show satisfactory water budget closure results in TRB using our proposed method. The proposed method provides a new aspect for assessing the accuracy of satellite-based hydrological data products especially in ungauged basins, which provides insights into water resources management in basins.