A new interpretable belief rule base model with step-length convergence strategy for aerospace relay health state assessment

Abstract

Health state assessment is an important measure to maintain the safety of aerospace relays. Due to the uncertainty within the relay system, the accuracy of the model assessment is challenged. In addition, the opaqueness of the process and incomprehensibility of the results tend to lose trust in the model, especially in high security fields, so it is crucial to maintain the interpretability of the model. Thus, this paper proposes a new interpretable belief rule base model with step-length convergence strategy (IBRB-Sc) for aerospace relay health state assessment. First, general interpretability criteria for BRB are considered, and strategies for maintaining model interpretability are designed. Second, the evidential reasoning (ER) method is used as the inference machine. Then, optimization is performed based on the Interpretable Projection Covariance Matrix Adaptive Evolution Strategy (IP-CMA-ES). Finally, the validity of the model is verified using the JRC-7M aerospace relay as a case study. Comparative experiments show that the proposed model maintains high accuracy and achieves advantages in interpretability.