Abstract

As a classical rule-based modeling approach, belief rule base (BRB) expert system can integrate expert knowledge and possesses good interpretability. BRB with attribute reliability (BRB-r), built upon BRB, provides an effective way to deal with the problems of model reliability and environmental disturbances. Moreover, robustness is an important measure of perturbation resistance, and a robust BRB-r can remain reliable and stable in various environments. Therefore, to improve the model's ability to resist perturbations and enhance the model's adaptability, a new generic BRB with attribute reliability (G-BRB-r) is developed. Specifically, the robustness of BRB-r is analyzed in this paper to explore the change of BRB-r robustness under different perturbations. In addition, combining the effects of different factors on robustness, the construction criteria and constraints of robust BRB-r are given to guide modeling. Then, considering the effects of attribute reliability and robustness on modeling performance, a new generic BRB with attribute reliability is developed. Finally, the effectiveness and adaptability of the proposed method are demonstrated through a case study for health state assessment of the aerospace relay.

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