Abstract

Decision-making is often accompanied by a degree of confidence on whether a choice is correct. Decision uncertainty, or lack in confidence, may lead to change-of-mind. Studies have identified the behavioural characteristics associated with decision confidence or change-of-mind, and their neural correlates. Although several theoretical accounts have been proposed, there is no neural model that can compute decision uncertainty and explain its effects on change-of-mind. We propose a neuronal circuit model that computes decision uncertainty while accounting for a variety of behavioural and neural data of decision confidence and change-of-mind, including testable model predictions. Our theoretical analysis suggests that change-of-mind occurs due to the presence of a transient uncertainty-induced choice-neutral stable steady state and noisy fluctuation within the neuronal network. Our distributed network model indicates that the neural basis of change-of-mind is more distinctively identified in motor-based neurons. Overall, our model provides a framework that unifies decision confidence and change-of-mind.

Highlights

  • Decision-making is often accompanied by a degree of confidence on whether a choice is correct

  • We have proposed a novel neural circuit computational model that encodes decision uncertainty, the reciprocal of decision confidence

  • Decision uncertainty in the model can be represented in real time for online excitatory feedback and for controlling decision dynamics

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Summary

Introduction

Decision-making is often accompanied by a degree of confidence on whether a choice is correct. Several theoretical accounts have been proposed, there is no neural model that can compute decision uncertainty and explain its effects on change-of-mind. We propose a neuronal circuit model that computes decision uncertainty while accounting for a variety of behavioural and neural data of decision confidence and change-of-mind, including testable model predictions. Computational models have accounted for this, suggesting that neural responses are represented by probability distributions, where uncertainty can be quantified by evaluating the posterior probability[10,22]. More recent neurophysiological evidence has shown that some changes-of-mind occur as a result of an internal error-correction mechanism[25], suggesting decision uncertainty plays a role in inducing changesof-mind[31]. There is no neural circuit model that explains this shared neural mechanism[17]

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