Abstract

The manuscript review process is of special interest to two groups: academicians comtemplating the submission of a paper for publication; and, editors and publishers involved in journal publication. Two aspects of special interest are (1) the probability of successfully negotiating the various hurdles to ultimate publication, and (2) the expected time to response from the editorial offices of the journal. The purpose of this paper is to accurately portray the manuscript review process of an existing journal (not CAOR), and to provide summary statistics concerning outcome probabilities and response times. The review process is depicted as a GERT network showing outcome branching possibilities and possible paths to success or failure. The network model is simulated 1000 times to provide summary data on response times at various critical stages in the review process.

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