Abstract

Preoperative prudent patient selection plays a crucial role in knee osteoarthritis management but faces challenges in appropriate referrals such as total knee arthroplasty (TKA), unicompartmental knee arthroplasty (UKA)and nonoperative intervention. Deep learning (DL) techniques can build prediction models for treatment decision-making. The aim is to develop and evaluate a knee arthroplasty prediction pipeline using three-view X-rays to determine the suitable candidates for TKA, UKAor are not arthroplasty candidates. A study was conducted using three-view (anterior-posterior, lateraland patellar) X-rays and surgical data of patients undergoing TKA, UKAor nonarthroplasty interventions from sites A and B. Data from site A were used to derive and validate models. Data from site B were used as external test set. A DL pipeline combining YOLOv3 and ResNet-18 with confident learning (CL) was developed. Multiview Convolutional Neural Network, EfficientNet-b4, ResNet-101and the proposed model without CLwere also trained and tested. The models were evaluated using metrics such as area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, precision, specificity, sensitivityand F1 score. The data set comprised a total of 1779 knees. Of which 1645 knees were from site A as a derivation set and an internal validation cohort. The external validation cohort consisted of 134 knees. The internal validation cohort demonstrated superior performance for the proposed model augmented with CL, achieving an AUC of 0.94 and an accuracy of 85.9%. External validation further confirmed the model's generalisation, with an AUC of 0.93 and an accuracy of 82.1%. Comparative analysis with other neural network models showed the proposed model's superiority. The proposed DL pipeline, integrating YOLOv3, ResNet-18and CL, provides accurate predictions for knee arthroplasty candidates based on three-view X-rays. This prediction model could be useful in performing decision making for the type of arthroplasty procedure in an automated fashion. Level III, diagnostic study.

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