A Multisource Data Fusion Modeling Prediction Method for Operation Environment of High‐Speed Train

Abstract

Providing accurate and reliable railway regional environmental data is a key consideration in operation control and dynamic dispatching of high‐speed train. However, there are problems of low reliability and high uncertainty in the single data processing of high‐speed train operating area environment. Therefore, this paper proposes a novel multisource sensor data fusion method based on a three‐level information fusion framework. Firstly, the feature of the same kind of sensor data is extracted by the Kalman Filter (KF) algorithm as the input of back propagation neural network (BPNN). Then input the sample site into the BPNN for training and recognition, the feature fusion of heterogeneous sensor data is carried out, the decision output of BPNN is obtained, the output results are normalized, and its output is used as the basic probability assignment of Dempster–Shafer (D‐S) evidence theory and synthesis rules. Finally, the decision fusion of multisource data is realized by D‐S evidence theory. The simulation results show that compared with the traditional single fusion algorithm, the algorithm improves the accuracy of the prediction of high‐speed train operation environment and reduces the MAPE from 13.82% to 7.455%, and the RMSE from 0.77 to 0.69, and meanwhile, increases the R2 from 0.87 to 0.97.