Abstract

Background and objectiveThe aims of this study are (i) to assess the predictive reliability of the physiologically based software PhysPK versus the well-known population approach software NONMEM for the cited semi-mechanistic PK model, (ii) to determine whether these modelling approaches are interchangeable and (iii) to compare acausal with causal modelling approaches in the framework of semi-mechanistic PK models. MethodsA semi-mechanistic model was proposed, which assumed oral administration of a solid dosage form with a peripheral compartment and two active metabolites. The model incorporates intestinal transit, dissolution limited by solubility, variable efflux transporter expression along the gut and linear and non-linear metabolism in the gut and liver. Four different approximations to the theoretical model were developed in order to validate both the new software and modelling methodology. ResultsPlasmatic concentrations correlation plots as well as relative errors in AUC0-48 and Cmax predictions revealed the accuracy of PhysPK in the prediction of these exposition parameters. Physiological and acausal object oriented version systematically under-estimated AUC0-48 and Cmax of the parent drug, whereas metabolites were over-estimated when taking the semi-mechanistic and extraction-based metabolism version as the reference. ConclusionsPhysPK has been properly validated, where differences are related to numerical precision of integrators and solvers. A systematic bias for the parent drug and active metabolites was predicted when a semi-mechanistic approach including extraction-based metabolism was compared to the physiologic and acausal approach, showing that interchangeability might be possible when intrinsic-clearance metabolism is implemented in the semi-mechanistic approach. The acausal and object-oriented methodology allows for defining the semi-mechanistic model through its local mechanisms and relationships among entities, without the need to build the final set of Ordinary Differential Equations.

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