Abstract

Recent research has investigated the effects of var iable speed limits (VSL) on traffic flow processes. Findings show that VSL profoundly impact lane flow distribution (LFD) and increase the use of the slow lane by reducing the speed difference between the slow lane and the overtaking lanes. Finally, VSL reduce the capacity drop phenomenon on multi-lane sections and significantly increase the proportion of flow on the slow lane. These results highlight the major impact of LFD on the ca pacity of multi-lane sections. The paper presents a new analytical model that esti mates the capacity of multi-lane sections and repro duces the capacity-drop caused by LFD characteristics. It can be applied to estimate the capacity of motorway se ctions with two or three lanes under common traffic condit ions; it can also estimate the impact of VSL on the capacity of multi-lane sections. The multi-lane capacity model is coupled with a dyn amic mesoscopic traffic flow model initially design ed for network applications: the meso-LWR model. The resulting dynamic traffic flow model is relevant for mot orway network applications and VSL evaluation. The dynamic model is implemented on a French motorway site. The results show the ability of the model to reproduce actual traffic situations (capacity, congestion per iod, etc.) without VSL, including the amplitude of capacity dr op phenomenon caused by the under-use of the slow lane. It also shows the ability of the model to estimate the effect of VSL on future traffic flow conditions.

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