A multi-criteria group decision-making framework for investment assessment of offshore floating wind-solar-aquaculture project under probabilistic linguistic environment.

Abstract

The offshore floating wind-solar-aquaculture (WSA) system with its advantages such as strong seakeeping ability, considerable power generation, and full utilization of ocean space and water resources will have a bright prospect in the future. In order to accelerate the sustainable development of the energy industry, it is very important to build a reasonable investment decision-making framework. Therefore, this paper aims to build a multi-criteria group decision-making (MCGDM) framework for investment decision-making of this project. Firstly, a comprehensive criteria system has been established. Secondly, probabilistic language term sets (PLTSs) are introduced to describe the uncertainty and fuzziness of decision information. Thirdly, the expert weight determination model is established based on the correlation measure and correlation coefficient of PLTSs, and the PL-fuzzy decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory (DEMATEL) method and the information entropy method are introduced to determine the subjective and objective weights of the criteria. In addition, considering the decision maker's psychological behavior, we choose probabilistic language the interactive and multiple attribute decision-making (TODIM) method to determine the optimal investment alternative. Finally, we apply the proposed framework to a case study. The results illustrate that the alternative A3 possesses the optimal comprehensive performance with the overall value is 1. Then, we conduct sensitivity analysis and comparative analysis to verify its robustness and feasibility. Scenario analysis in TODIM method showed that it is reasonable to express decision preference by setting different recession coefficients in the actual decision-making environment. This study can provide some reference for decision-makers, and also extend the method of decision-making field.