Abstract
The paper investigates the mean-reverting components in real stock prices for 16 countries. The temporary and permanent components of real stock prices are identified through appropriate restrictions on a vector autoregression of real stock returns and inflation. The multivariate time series technique identifies the size and significance of the mean-reverting component. The evidence supports the mean-reversion hypothesis that stock prices are not random walks. A significant temporary component in real stock prices of magnitude between 7 and 64% of the variation of quarterly real stock price movements is found. For a number of countries there is evidence of persistence in the temporary component.
Sign-in/Register to access full text options 
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a callDisclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.
