Abstract

A novel ensemble machine learning approach for predicting energy consumption in smart appliances is presented in this paper. The main objective is minimizing the number of necessary sensors and improving the prediction accuracy at the same time. The proposed method combines the Fuzzy C-Means method with a multi-stream deep neural network to achieve this goal. The method focuses on prediction accuracy and aims to extract the minimum number of essential features from the dataset corresponding to the required sensors. These selected features are then scatter-reduced and homogenized into subsets. Each subset is used to train a cluster-specific deep neural network designed exclusively for that subset. The final prediction is obtained by computing the fuzzy-weighted sum of these cluster-specific network outputs. Numerical results show that the proposed prediction method outperforms conventional methods in terms of root mean square error and mean absolute percentage error criteria, despite using fewer sensors. This improvement can be attributed to the reduced dataset scatter, which improves the learning speed and model performance. Furthermore, the fuzzy combination of the outputs improves the final prediction accuracy. Overall, the proposed approach provides a more cost-effective and accurate solution for predicting the energy consumed by smart appliances.

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