A Monte Carlo fuzzy logistic regression framework against imbalance and separation

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This article proposes a new fuzzy logistic regression framework with high classification performance against imbalance and separation while keeping the interpretability of classical logistic regression. Separation and imbalance are two core problems in logistic regression, which can result in biased coefficient estimates and inaccurate predictions. Existing research on fuzzy logistic regression primarily focuses on developing possibilistic models instead of using a logit link function that converts log-odds ratios to probabilities. At the same time, little consideration is given to issues of separation and imbalance. Our study aims to address these challenges by proposing new methods of fuzzifying binary variables and classifying subjects based on a comparison against a fuzzy threshold. We use combinations of fuzzy and crisp predictors, output, and coefficients to understand which combinations perform better under imbalance and separation. Numerical experiments with synthetic and real datasets are conducted to demonstrate the usefulness and superiority of the proposed framework. Seven crisp machine learning models are implemented for benchmarking in the numerical experiments. The proposed framework shows consistently strong performance results across datasets with imbalance or separation and performs equally well when such issues are absent. Meanwhile, the considered machine learning methods are significantly impacted by the imbalanced datasets.

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Effect of folic acid on appetite in children: Ordinal logistic and fuzzy logistic regressions
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  • Nutrition
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The Precision-Recall Plot Is More Informative than the ROC Plot When Evaluating Binary Classifiers on Imbalanced Datasets
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CitationsShowing 9 of 9 papers
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Metric learning unveiling disparities: A novel approach to recognize false trigger images in wildlife monitoring
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Metric learning unveiling disparities: A novel approach to recognize false trigger images in wildlife monitoring

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  • 10.1186/s12874-024-02270-x
Binary classification with fuzzy logistic regression under class imbalance and complete separation in clinical studies
  • Jul 5, 2024
  • BMC Medical Research Methodology
  • Georgios Charizanos + 2 more

BackgroundIn binary classification for clinical studies, an imbalanced distribution of cases to classes and an extreme association level between the binary dependent variable and a subset of independent variables can create significant classification problems. These crucial issues, namely class imbalance and complete separation, lead to classification inaccuracy and biased results in clinical studies.MethodTo deal with class imbalance and complete separation problems, we propose using a fuzzy logistic regression framework for binary classification. Fuzzy logistic regression incorporates combinations of triangular fuzzy numbers for the coefficients, inputs, and outputs and produces crisp classification results. The fuzzy logistic regression framework shows strong classification performance due to fuzzy logic’s better handling of imbalance and separation issues. Hence, classification accuracy is improved, mitigating the risk of misclassified conditions and biased insights for clinical study patients.ResultsThe performance of the fuzzy logistic regression model is assessed on twelve binary classification problems with clinical datasets. The model has consistently high sensitivity, specificity, F1, precision, and Mathew’s correlation coefficient scores across all clinical datasets. There is no evidence of impact from the imbalance or separation that exists in the datasets. Furthermore, we compare the fuzzy logistic regression classification performance against two versions of classical logistic regression and six different benchmark sources in the literature. These six sources provide a total of ten different proposed methodologies, and the comparison occurs by calculating the same set of classification performance scores for each method. Either imbalance or separation impacts seven out of ten methodologies. The remaining three produce better classification performance in their respective clinical studies. However, these are all outperformed by the fuzzy logistic regression framework.ConclusionFuzzy logistic regression showcases strong performance against imbalance and separation, providing accurate predictions and, hence, informative insights for classifying patients in clinical studies.

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Prediction of cardiovascular disease based on logistic regression model
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  • Kaishuai Sun

Prediction of cardiovascular disease based on logistic regression model

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Predicting the availability of power line communication nodes using semi-supervised learning algorithms
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  • Scientific Reports
  • Kareem Moussa + 4 more

Power Line Communication (PLC) facilitates the usage of power cables to transmit data. The issue is that sending data to unavailable nodes is time-consuming. Machine Learning has solved this by predicting a node having optimum readings. The more the machine learning models learn, the more accurate they become, as the model becomes always updated with the node’s continuous availability status, so self-training algorithms have been used. A dataset of 2000 instances of a node of a 500-node implemented PLC network has been collected. These instances consist of CINR(Carrier-to-Interference plus Noise Ratio), SNR(Signal-to-Noise Ratio), and RSSI(Received Signal Strength Indicator) as features for the label, which is a node is UP/Down. The data set has been split into 85% as a training set and 15% as a testing set. 15% of the training data are unlabeled. Self-training classifier has been used to allow Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LGBM) and Support Vector Machine (linear and non-linear kernel) to behave in a self-training manner as well as the training of label propagation and label spreading algorithms. Supervised Learning algorithms (Random Forest and logistic regression) have been trained on the dataset to compare the results. The best model is the Label Spreading, which resulted in accuracy equals 94.67%, f1-score equals 0.947, precision is 0.946, and recall equals 0.947 with training time equals 0.018 sec. and memory consumption equals 0.99 MB.

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A learning system-based soft multiple linear regression model
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  • Intelligent Systems with Applications
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A novel framework for assessing determinant risk factors on cyber (dis)trust behaviors of netizens in deepfakes
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Elementary Operations with Gaussian Fuzzy Numbers
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  • Georgios Charizanos + 2 more

Elementary Operations with Gaussian Fuzzy Numbers

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A Two-way Crossed Effects Fuzzy Panel Linear Regression Model
  • Jan 20, 2025
  • International Journal of Computational Intelligence Systems
  • Gholamreza Hesamian + 1 more

Over the last two decades, the panel data model has become a focus of applied research. While there are numerous proposals for soft regression models in the literature, only a few linear regression models have been proposed based on fuzzy panel data. However, these models have serious limitations. This study is an attempt to propose a kind of two-way fuzzy panel regression model with crossed effects, fuzzy responses and crisp predictors to overcome the shortcomings of these models in real applications. The corresponding parameter estimation is provided based on a three-step procedure. For this purpose, the conventional least absolute error technique is employed. Two real data sets are analyzed to investigate the fitting and predictive capabilities of the proposed fuzzy panel regression model. These real data applications demonstrate that our proposed model has good fitting accuracy and predictive performance.

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Processing imbalanced medical data at the data level with assisted-reproduction data as an example
  • Sep 4, 2024
  • BioData Mining
  • Junliang Zhu + 6 more

ObjectiveData imbalance is a pervasive issue in medical data mining, often leading to biased and unreliable predictive models. This study aims to address the urgent need for effective strategies to mitigate the impact of data imbalance on classification models. We focus on quantifying the effects of different imbalance degrees and sample sizes on model performance, identifying optimal cut-off values, and evaluating the efficacy of various methods to enhance model accuracy in highly imbalanced and small sample size scenarios.MethodsWe collected medical records of patients receiving assisted reproductive treatment in a reproductive medicine center. Random forest was used to screen the key variables for the prediction target. Various datasets with different imbalance degrees and sample sizes were constructed to compare the classification performance of logistic regression models. Metrics such as AUC, G-mean, F1-Score, Accuracy, Recall, and Precision were used for evaluation. Four imbalance treatment methods (SMOTE, ADASYN, OSS, and CNN) were applied to datasets with low positive rates and small sample sizes to assess their effectiveness.ResultsThe logistic model’s performance was low when the positive rate was below 10% but stabilized beyond this threshold. Similarly, sample sizes below 1200 yielded poor results, with improvement seen above this threshold. For robustness, the optimal cut-offs for positive rate and sample size were identified as 15% and 1500, respectively. SMOTE and ADASYN oversampling significantly improved classification performance in datasets with low positive rates and small sample sizes.ConclusionsThe study identifies a positive rate of 15% and a sample size of 1500 as optimal cut-offs for stable logistic model performance. For datasets with low positive rates and small sample sizes, SMOTE and ADASYN are recommended to improve balance and model accuracy.

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