A Model Intercomparison Analysis for Controls on C Accumulation in North American Peatlands

Abstract

AbstractPeatland biogeochemical processes have not been adequately represented in existing earth system models, which might have biased the quantification of Arctic carbon‐climate feedbacks. We revise the Peatland Terrestrial Ecosystem Model (PTEM) by incorporating additional peatland biogeochemical processes. The revised PTEM is evaluated by comparing with Holocene Peatland Model (HPM) in simulating peat physical and biogeochemical dynamics in three North American peatlands: a permafrost‐free fen site, a permafrost‐free bog site and a permafrost bog site. Peatland carbon dynamics are simulated from peat initiation to 1990 and then to year 2300. Model responses to the changes in temperature and precipitation are analyzed to identify key processes affecting peatland carbon accumulation rates. We find that the net C balance is sensitive to water table depth and nutrient availability. Future simulations to year 2300 are conducted with both models under RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, and RCP 8.5. PTEM predicts these peatlands to be C sources or weaker C sinks when insufficient precipitation suppresses soil moisture and thereby net N mineralization and net primary production, while HPM predicts the same when drier climate leads to increasing water table depth. Our results highlight the importance of water balance and C‐N feedback on peatland C dynamics. With a warmer climate, these peatlands could become a weaker C sink or a source under drier conditions, otherwise a larger C sink if wetter. Improved understanding to peatland processes can help future quantification of peatland C dynamics in the boreal and Arctic regions.