Abstract

PurposeThis paper aims to describe an in-depth study that aimed to assess and develop a strategic disaster risk reduction plan to integrate climate change adaptation countermeasures in Cilincing, a North Jakarta City sub-district.Design/methodology/approachThe study used a back-casting approach to cover hazard assessment induced by increased susceptibility, as well as vulnerability, both as a baseline study and projected up to 2045 at the micro level. The urban village (Kelurahan) level is the unit of analysis. The capacity analysis is used as baseline data, which is reviewed against the trend of the hazard and vulnerability.FindingsThe results of the study identify short-, medium- and long-term recommendations to integrate disaster risk reduction and climate change adaption. These include capacity building, especially emergency response capabilities, an increase of drainage capacity, improvements to transboundary management and minimising driving forces.Practical implicationsThese findings at the micro level are very important to present a more holistic and realistic strategy that can be implemented until 2045, but also provides a basis for up scaling into metropolitan region planning.Originality/valueThis is a unique, micro-scale case study in the Cilincing sub-district of Jakarta that assesses and develops strategic disaster risk countermeasures and a reduction plan that integrates the effects of climate change, thereby addressing future disaster risk in Jakarta.

Highlights

  • Creating a resilient society is a normative topic; some scientists have even described it as a utopia (Frommer, 2013)

  • The results presented in this paper are a part of the research “Mainstreaming Integrated Disaster Risk Reduction and Climate Change Adaption Strategies into Coastal Urban Agglomeration”, funded jointly by Newton Fund Institutional Link and Ristek Dikti for the year 2017-2018

  • This paper describes a study to develop a sustainable strategy for flood disaster risk reduction in the Jakarta Metropolitan Area, with the goal of addressing the current and projected flood risk up to 2040

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Summary

Introduction

Creating a resilient society is a normative topic; some scientists have even described it as a utopia (Frommer, 2013). The point at which a society can be considered as resilient has not been clearly defined (Béné et al, 2012). Cities are facing long-term issues with complex underlying causes. It is increasingly recognised that these problems are too difficult to solve using conventional planning approaches. Back-casting is suitable for complex normative problems that require transformation changes such as sustainability and resilience (Dreborg, 1996). The approach integrates a comprehensive look over relevant studies, innovations and institutional transformation (Bibri, 2018)

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