Abstract
Potato crisps are a popular snack food which have been implicated as a potential source of acrylamide. This study develops a farm-to-fork human exposure assessment model for acrylamide in fried potato crisps for Irish consumers. The model used Monte Carlo simulation techniques to model the various stages from on farm production of potatoes, storage, processing, crisp production and final human consumption of potato crisps. A baseline model is created and a number of scenarios are subsequently created to look at the impact of different model assumptions and input parameters. The baseline model found that the mean level of acrylamide in potato crisps in Ireland was 720 μg/kg. Irish consumer exposure to acrylamide in potato crisps was estimated to be 0.052 and 0.064 μg/kg bw/day for males and females, respectively. A sensitivity analysis revealed the important parameters influencing the model predictions. The initial level of reducing sugars was found to be the most important parameter (correlation coefficient 0.58 and 0.57 for glucose and fructose, respectively), highlighting the importance of selecting cultivars with low reducing sugar levels for crisp production. The cooking regime had a significant impact on model predictions, highlighting the need for further research into the impact of different time and temperature combinations. Blanching and soaking of potatoes were also identified as important risk reduction processes.
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