Abstract

This work proposes, explains, and demonstrates a methodological framework which affords decision-makers and policy-makers the opportunity to accelerate the tempo and enhance the quality of the U.S. Department of Defense acquisitions community. The effective implementation of this framework will augment the warfighting capability of the U.S. Department of Defense against peer competitors and advance the security posture of the United States. This work provides a theoretical foundation for explaining the distribution of potential outcomes for certain types of warfare while contextualizing the research to the space domain. This framework utilizes reliability models to account for natural attrition while using combat models to account for induced attrition. The use of game-theoretic concepts enables the evaluation of heterogeneous force structures.

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