A Method for Short-Term Wind Power Prediction With Multiple Observation Points

Abstract

This paper presents a method to improve the short-term wind power prediction at a given turbine using information from numerical weather prediction and from multiple observation points, which correspond to the locations of nearby turbines at a particular wind farm site. The prediction of wind power is achieved in two stages; in the first stage wind speed is predicted using our proposed method. In the second stage, the wind speed to output power conversion is accomplished using power curve model. The proposed wind power prediction method is tested using real measurements and NWP data from one of the wind farm sites in Australia. The performance is compared with the persistence and Grey predictor model in terms of Mean Absolute Error and Root Mean Square Error.