A method for predicting photovoltaic output power based on PCC-GRA-PCA meteorological elements dimensionality reduction method

Abstract

ABSTRACT Photovoltaic (PV) power generation forecasting models require a large amount of meteorological data, which may include irrelevant and redundant information. As the volume of data increases, the dataset is likely to contain a significant amount of irrelevant and redundant information. This paper proposes a method for reducing dimensionality based on PCC-GRA-PCA method, which aims to simplify the model and reduce computational complexity. Firstly, the dimension reduction method analyzes the feature importance of various meteorological elements by using Pearson Correlation Coefficient (PCC) and Grey Relation Analysis (GRA), which can achieve the preliminary dimension reduction of data by selecting the most relevant features. Next, the data is processed using Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to achieve a secondary dimension reduction of meteorological data through feature transformation. Finally, a photovoltaic power prediction model has been established using the OVMD-tSSA-LSSVM algorithm. After analysis, it was found that the prediction model showed improvements in R2, MAE, RMSE, and MAPE after PCC-GRA-PCA dimensionality reduction compared to the prediction model before dimensionality reduction, as well as the prediction model after LDA and PCA dimensionality reduction. This demonstrates the effectiveness of reducing data dimensionality.