A Method for Predicting Ground Pressure in Meihuajing Coal Mine Based on Improved BP Neural Network by Immune Algorithm-Particle Swarm Optimization

Abstract

Based on the background of dynamic mining pressure monitoring and pressure prediction research on the No. 232205 working face of the Meihuajing coal mine, this study systematically investigates the predictive model of mining pressure manifestation on the working face of the Meihuajing coal mine by integrating methods such as engineering investigation, theoretical analysis, and mathematical modeling. A mining pressure manifestation prediction method based on IA-PSO-BP is proposed. The IA-PSO optimization algorithm is applied to optimize the hyperparameters of the BP neural network, and the working face mining pressure prediction model based on IA-PSO-BP is established. The mean absolute error (MAE), mean square error (MSE), and coefficient of determination (R2) are selected as evaluation indicators to compare the prediction performance of the BP model, PSO-BP model, and IA-PSO-BP model. The experimental results of the model show that the convergence speed of the IA-PSO-BP model is about eight times faster than that of the BP model and two times faster than that of the PSO-BP model. Compared with the BP and PSO-BP models, the IA-PSO-BP model has the smallest MAE and MSE and the largest R2 on the three different data sets of the test set, indicating significantly improved prediction accuracy. The predicted results conform to the periodic variation pattern of mining pressure data and are consistent with the actual situation in the coal mine.