A method for defining monsoon onset and demise in the southwestern USA

Abstract

AbstractThe southwestern USA is subject annually to an inflow of atmospheric moisture in association with the North American monsoon, which is a summertime shift in the atmospheric circulation stretching from the Caribbean Sea, to Mexico, and into the southwestern USA. There are currently no regional criteria used to define the temporal aspect of the annual monsoon season in the southwestern USA, and only a single local definition. A regionalized definition of the annual timing of the monsoon season would seem to be a greater representation of the synoptic‐scale effects of the monsoon rather than individual definitions at point locations across the region. The research presented here outlines a method for defining the annual onset and demise of the regional monsoon season of the southwestern USA, and assesses the results through comparisons with a method currently used at one location within the region and with atmospheric composites from historic data.Using hourly dew‐point temperature data at five surface stations and daily precipitation data for 193 stations across the southwestern USA for June through to October for a 52 year period, daily humidity and precipitation threshold values indicative of monsoon moisture are established. The first and last occurrences of both humidity and precipitation sustained for a synoptic period of 3 days mark the annual onset and demise of the monsoon season, whereas all days in between that meet the humidity and precipitation thresholds are categorized as ‘monsoon days’. Results show good agreement with sample historic data for the sole local definition within the region, and atmospheric composites indicate a likelihood of accurate representation of monsoon onset and demise across the region. The significance of accurate onset and demise dates is apparent in the intimate relationship between seasonal precipitation across the region and the length of the monsoon season. Based upon the procedure, a historic monsoon season database was constructed for the southwestern USA for use in climatological, meteorological, and case‐study analyses. Copyright © 2004 Royal Meteorological Society