A method for assessing the resilience of urban interdependent systems integrating physical damage and social loss

Abstract

As systems in urban areas become increasingly interdependent, the effects of disasters extend beyond facilities damage, precipitating casualties, and public service disruptions. Establishing a holistic resilience assessment method is crucial for urban sustainability planning. Existing resilience assessment methods often focus on the physical damage; however, few studies examine the social loss. This study proposes a resilience assessment method that integrates physical damage and social loss. A multilayer network model of physical-social systems is first developed based on their interdependency. Then, the evolution of disaster damage within and between systems process, and the multi-task parallel restoration process are quantified. Resilience is assessed by measuring dynamic changes in service supply and demand throughout these processes. The method considers social loss as a combination of population harm and service interruption caused by physical damage. The proposed method was applied to an urban area in Southern China. The results reveal the impact of seismic events on infrastructure, buildings, and populations. Furthermore, they demonstrate the coupling impacts of supply and transportation on emergency and healthcare systems’ resilience. This comprehensive method could facilitate the development of efficient strategies to improve urban resilience to disasters.